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Water Cooler
Tech's Favorite Game: Fire Everyone, Then Beg Them Back

Tech's Favorite Game: Fire Everyone, Then Beg Them Back

AI was supposed to replace workers. Instead it replaced common sense.

Danny FiskOctober 29, 2026 5 min read

Microsoft, Netflix, Meta, Apple, eBay, and Electronic Arts are all doing the same thing in 2026: laying people off at scale, then quietly hiring them back. It's not a bug in the system. It's the feature.

The math is brutal. Tech companies have shed more than 135,000 jobs this year while simultaneously posting 67,000 software engineering openings—the highest number since early 2023. Seventy percent of companies that conducted layoffs are doing another round within 12 months. Nearly half of all 2026 tech layoffs came from repeat-layoff companies. This isn't management incompetence. This is deliberate restructuring dressed up as crisis.

Here's what's actually happening: The four hyperscalers—Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta—committed to a combined $700 billion in capital expenditure for 2026, nearly double what they spent in 2025. That money is going to AI infrastructure, not salaries. So they're not shrinking the company. They're shrinking the payroll to fund the future. Microsoft alone offered 60,000 staff buyouts—roughly a quarter of its workforce—before year-end. Amazon has conducted rolling cuts since October 2025, totaling 30,000 people across separate rounds. Meta ran three separate layoff rounds before its May cut of 8,000, each time citing efficiency and strategic realignment.

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AI is cited in 40% of all cuts, but here's the thing: these companies are posting record revenues. This isn't recession-driven. It's strategic. AI/ML engineer postings are up 85% year-over-year, and AI skills appear in 42% of all software job descriptions. The labor market has split into two. One side—overqualified, recently fired—watching job boards. The other side—AI-specialized, well-paid—fielding recruiter emails.

The LinkedIn posts about "optimization" and "focusing on our core mission" have already gone viral. The boomerang hiring hasn't started yet, but it will. When it does, the same people who posted about "difficult decisions" will post about "exciting new opportunities" and "building for the future." The cycle continues. The only thing that changed is who's paying attention.

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Photo by SHVETS production via Pexels

Danny Fisk

Staff writer covering financial markets and corporate strategy. Has strong opinions about spreadsheets.

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