Turns out you can't permanently fix a problem by making it worse first
The post-pandemic tech boom had a simple philosophy: hire everyone, figure it out later. In 2026, later arrived, and it arrived angry. Over 190,000 tech workers have been laid off this year, with 128,536 cuts announced at 299 companies between January and mid-September alone—already surpassing all of 2025's totals. Oracle led the charge with an estimated 20,000 to 30,000 cuts. Amazon has announced 16,000 layoffs. Block's Jack Dorsey made the most spectacular announcement in March, eliminating 4,000 jobs—40% of the company's workforce—marking tech's single largest AI-attributed layoff event.
But here's where it gets interesting. AI was blamed for about 7% of job cuts in January. By May, that number jumped to roughly 40%. The actual capability of AI tools did not improve fivefold in four months. What changed was the story. "We are restructuring around AI" is forward-looking and investor-friendly. "We massively over-hired during a pandemic and demand has normalized" is not.
This is what industry insiders are now calling "AI washing"—using artificial intelligence as cover for what amounts to basic corporate math. The real culprit is simpler and sadder: companies hired recklessly when money was free, the pandemic seemed permanent, and nobody wanted to be the CEO who missed out. Now they're drowning in capex commitments to AI infrastructure while discovering that the 40% more people they hired in 2021 and 2022 were, shockingly, unnecessary.
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The layoff velocity itself is the most damning part. January through June 2026 saw 139,156 announced cuts—an 83% increase from the same period last year. This isn't correction. This is panic.
What's almost funny is how obvious this all was. Boom-era hiring has never worked. Companies bloat, then bleed. The only real innovation here is that tech executives found an explanation that doesn't make them sound like they broke something. In 2024, tech leaders were bullish on headcount. In 2026, they're bullish on margin recovery. The workers aren't the variable that changed. The narrative did.
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Photo by Max Vakhtbovych via Pexels
Danny Fisk
Staff writer covering financial markets and corporate strategy. Has strong opinions about spreadsheets.
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